Let’s take a look at the players on Joe Pisapia’s 2022 Do Not Draft list.
Rankings noted with FantasyPro’s Semi-PPR Expert Consensus Ranking (ECR) and consensus ADP.
6 Players You Should Avoid Drafting
placement Aaron Rodgers in the Players to Avoid category feels like reaching for low-hanging fruit, but it’s just so obvious that his imagination limit will be hampered this year without his #1 wide receiver. Davante Adams.
The only game the Packers signal-caller played without his No. 1 receiver in 2021 was his third-worst fantasy finish of the season. And Rodgers’ only healthy end of the season outside of the top-8 came in a season that saw Adams miss four games.
The dynamic duo’s chemistry has never been more evident in or near the red zone, as Rodgers-Adams have had 64 touchdowns — averaging in double digits — since 2016, 23 more than the second-closest duo (Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill). 33 percent of Rodgers’ touchdowns went to Adams during that period.
Green Bay have strengthened their wide receiver room with free agency and the draft, but they’re still unlikely to make up for Adams’ production — especially in the red zone. Without Adams, it’s difficult to buy Rodgers as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 2022.
De Andre Hopkins didn’t quite get washed last season, but his days as an elite alpha wide receiver may be over. Last season, he was the WR21 in fantasy points per game as he recorded his first season outside of the top 20 in goals per snap since 2017. Hopkins only had 20.5% target percentage, which was good for 35th place wideouts. While the suspension should ensure Hopkins returns fully healthy, it’s not certain that we won’t see 2022 drop further. He ranked 31st in yards per route run (minimum 50 goals per PFF) last season.
The 32-year-old wideout has struggled in the imagination with his “ability” to find the end zone 24 times since early 2020, but it’s something that just isn’t sustainable over the long term. Based on Thielen’s goals and yardage totals, his total TD count should be closer to 16.
Justin Jefferson is an ascending rocketship whose TDs will not increase until year 3, most likely at the expense of Thielen. Not to mention, AT’s age may finally be catching up to him after he posted his lowest PFF rating and yards per distance run since he first became a starter in 2016.
Allen Robinson slits next to it Cooper Kupp as the Rams’ number-two after a poor year with the Bears in 2021. In his final season at the Windy City, Robinson’s yards per route fell to a career-low 1.13, which landed him 79th out of 90 qualified wide receivers with 50 or more goals. Even categorizing Robinson Odell Beckham Role from last season is not as lucrative as it seems. In weeks 12-18 of last year, Beckham saw an 18.7% target share, which would have ranked him 44th among wide receivers. He also averaged 12.0 fantasy points per game, which placed him as a WR31 in Weekly Fantasy Production among wide receivers to start three or more games during that span. When its efficiency returns to previous levels, Robinson is a WR3 with WR2 on top.
Since his legendary stretch run in 2019 Tyler Higbee was a ho hum option in fantasy football. He has finished as TE13 and TE20 in fantasy points per game for the past two seasons. His yards per route run fell to 1.23 last year (ranked 25th among tight ends), which isn’t a trend you’d want to see from a (at best) top 12-15 fringe option at the tight end. With Allen Robinson in the city and Van Jefferson return to fight for targets behind Cooper Kupp, the arrow for Higbee points down. It’s nothing more than a streaming option in 2022.
FantasyPros Staff Consensus 2022 rewrite of the fantasy football rankings
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